Russian forces concentrate on the Ukrainian border.
Four weeks ago, I dedicated the ‘editorial’ to developments in Ukraine. Since then I have been waiting for the situation to clarify itself. Following that issue, there was a week or so of alarm, while arguments were heard that Europe was on the brink of WWIII. Indeed it looked as though some dangerous brinkmanship was happening. NATO was boosting its training missions to the Ukrainian military. The USA flew in several hundred million dollars’ worth of military equipment. Joe Biden ‘phoned the Ukrainian president, Zelensky, to assure him that he had the USA’s full support and the USA announced it planned to send naval ships to support Ukraine in the Black Sea. Russia very publicly, mobilised a massive armed force on its side of the frontier.
All that heightened tension has now subsided. So what has happened? Basically Russia has achieved its strategic objective without giving the EU the hoped for justification for yet more sanctions. (Biden, saving face, found another excuse and imposed them anyway.) To avoid dangerous misunderstandings, Russian planners wanted to bring home to NATO the reality of Russian military superiority along its frontier. Martyanov
By having forced the issue now, Russia has almost certainly avoided the necessity of involvement in a kinetic war further down the track. Ukraine has been forced to accept the reality that European powers have no wish to be forced into a hot-war with Russia by a loose-cannon such as Zelensky and that Ukraine will never be allowed to join NATO. Biden’s assurances of support have been shown to be meaningless. His advisers have been forced to acknowledge the military reality of Russia’s overwhelming superiority in its border zone. Such an acceptance of reality makes the world a much safer place.
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COVAX Progress: the UN organised COVAX roll-out 3 minute read
Peace and Conflict Resolution
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Environment & Climate Change
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Human Rights & Justice.
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